Chart Catalogue/Governance/Public Opinion

Alberta Vote Intention — UCP vs NDP

Published UCP and NDP vote-intention readings through 2026, each plotted at the end of its own field window with the polling house named. The spread across houses is wide — readings taken weeks apart differ by more than any single release's margin of error, and two firms fielding in the same month have landed nine points apart on the same question. The trend across the set is the signal here; no individual number is.

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Pollster releases, curated

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Alberta Referendum — Remain in Canada vs Commence the Process

Published readings on the October 19, 2026 referendum question, plotted by field-end date with the polling house named. The question asks whether to commence a process, not whether to leave, and the result is non-binding — a vote to commence would begin negotiations, not effect anything. Every reading here has remain well ahead, but the houses disagree on by how much, so read the direction rather than any single margin.

Pollster releases, curated